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Betting Tips: Premier League Transfers

What has been the impact on title odds from UK betting sites?

Betting Tips: Premier League Transfers
Betting Tips: Premier League Transfers

We’re still six weeks from the start of the 2023/24 Premier League campaign yet we have already seen a series of transfers that have had a real impact on the season’s outright betting odds. Thanks to our betting partners at Unibet here at betting.bet we’ll run the rule over some of the more eye-catching transfers involving the Premier League’s biggest clubs.

Chelsea Revolution

Where else could we possibly start than at Stamford Bridge? Since Todd Boehly took charge at Chelsea, they have been the subject of several staggering transfer windows. In his debut season, Boehly forked out in excess of £600 million on transfer fees, but a twelfth-place finish was a disastrous return on his substantial investment.

This summer, new manager Mauricio Pochettino is overseeing a major clear out at Stamford Bridge. Kai Havertz (£65 million) and Mateo Kovacic (£30 million) have been sold to league rivals, Arsenal and Manchester City respectively. N’Golo Kante, Edouard Mendy and Kalidou Koulibaly have all joined the Saudi Professional League whilst Ruben Loftus-Cheek has made his loan move to Italian giants, Milan a permanent one. There are countless more Chelsea players set to move onto pastures new this summer, including the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Romelu Lukaku, Hakim Ziyech, Christian Pulisic, Ethan Ampadu and Callum Hudson-Odoi. England international, Mason Mount seems to be on the verge of sealing a transfer to Manchester United. Whilst jumping from twelfth to first seems unlikely, Chelsea are excellent value at 5/4 to achieve a top four finish next season.

Christopher Nkunku and Nicolas Jackson have already arrived at Chelsea this summer. French international, Nkunku scored 16 times in 25 Bundesliga matches at RB Leipzig last season and has immediately been installed at 28/1 to win the Golden Boot. Whilst this may seem a little unlikely, he offers significant each-way value.

Manchester City are Still the Team to Beat

We’re not expecting to see a huge number of comings and goings at Manchester City this summer. As the old saying goes, “if it isn’t broke, don’t fix it”. The treble winners have acquired Kovacic as a direct replacement for Barcelona-bound Ilkay Gundogan. Pep Guardiola is also set to make a move for RB Leipzig defender Josko Gvardiol but that could it as far as summer recruits go for last season’s Premier League champions. At 3/4, Manchester City are very back-able to win a fourth successive league title. Erling Haaland enjoyed a record-breaking first season in English football and is 7/10 to win another Golden Boot in 23/24.

The best value in the Golden Boot market may well be England captain, Harry Kane. After yet another trophyless season at Spurs, Kane may opt to move on this summer. Bayern Munich and Real Madrid have both been mooted as a possible destination but with Alan Shearer’s all-time Premier League record within reach, Kane is likely to remain on these shores for at least one more season. Kane scored 30 goals in the Premier League last season as is a massive 13/2 to win the Golden Boot in the upcoming campaign. Those odds could look huge if he moves to one of the league’s real big players. Manchester United looks like the perfect match for club and player.

Key Summer for Manchester United

A successful summer transfer window is hugely important for Manchester United. The Red Devils finished third last season and reached both domestic cup finals (winning the EFL Cup). However, their squad needs strengthening in several areas. A centre forward remains a priority whilst a new goalkeeper will be required if David de Gea departs. Mason Mount is likely to be the first player to arrive at Old Trafford but cannot be the last. Manchester United’s failure to land any notable transfer targets so far has caused their title odds to slide to 11/1. They are now available at 8/11 to finish in the top four.

Rasmus Hojlund is seen as a more realistic alternative to Harry Kane in their efforts to sign a new centre forward whilst Andre Onana is believed to be their preferred goalkeeping choice.

Liverpool Quietly Go About Their Business

One club that has shortened in the Premier League’s outright betting recently is Liverpool. The Reds endured a difficult 2022/23 season and looked a side in desperate need of investment, particularly in central midfield. Jurgen Klopp’s side have made a double swoop for midfielders, Alexis MacAllister and Dominik Szoboszlai whilst they’re now being linked with Southampton midfielder, Romeo Lavia.

Liverpool possess an embarrassment of riches in attack, boasting the likes of Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, Cody Gakpo, Darwin Nunez and Diogo Jota. If they can keep their big guns fit and in form, Liverpool could go really close to another Premier League title this season. At 4/6, they are superb value to return to the top four, whilst they are far too good to be priced at 9/1 to win the Premier League.

Can Arsenal Go One Better?

Even the most avid of Gooner would’ve been surprised to see their side challenge for the title last season but the Arsenal bar has now been raised. Top four is no longer enough, Arsenal expect to challenge for the title. Squad depth was a real problem at the business end of the season for Arsenal, prompting Mikel Arteta to bolster his squad considerably this summer. Kai Havertz has already switched Chelsea for Arsenal and Declan Rice is set to complete his record-breaking move from West Ham United. Jurrien Timber is also close to joining from Ajax, which would take Arsenal’s summer spending beyond £200 million. The Gunners are probably still one or two players short of winning a first title since 2004 but 13/20 for a top four finish looks a shrewd bet.

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