Last year, Hubert Hurkacz clinched the trophy, and he's back to defend his title in 2024 with odds of 5/1 with Betfred, which is quite tempting given his recent performance at the Australian Open.
Marseille is renowned for providing some of the fastest conditions on the ATP Tour, making it a great choice for big servers and aggressive players. Last year, Hubert Hurkacz clinched the trophy, and he's back to defend his title in 2024 with odds of 5/1 with Betfred, which is quite tempting given his recent performance at the Australian Open.
However, we always aim to find the best value, and this time, we believe Ugo Humbert is a promising choice, especially considering he's more than twice the price of Hurkacz. Humbert has been in fantastic form over the last six months, breaking into the top 20 for the first time. Notably, during the tour's last indoor swing in the autumn, he reached the semifinals in Basel, took Alex Zverev to a final-set tie-break in Paris, and ended the season by winning the title in Metz.
Humbert's game is well-suited to the conditions in Marseille, and his lefty first serve and willingness to approach the net make him a strong contender. Despite a 3-0 head-to-head disadvantage against Hurkacz, their matches have been closely contested, including a deciding-set tie-break in their only indoor meeting in Basel last October.
When comparing their records for holding and breaking serve in 2024, Hurkacz only holds a slight advantage over Humbert (111-109). This gap narrows further when you factor in the autumn indoor swing (110.4-109.8), highlighting their closely matched abilities.
With Humbert only needing three wins to be profitable for each-way backers and considering his odds of 12/1, it's a bet worth considering. In the bottom half of the draw, players like Grigor Dimitrov and Karen Khachanov don't inspire confidence after their recent performances. Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jiri Lecheka might be contenders, but I'm not fully convinced yet.
The Dark Horse, Arthur Rinderknech
One dark horse to keep an eye on is Arthur Rinderknech, priced at 70/1. Although his recent form isn't outstanding, he has a game that suits the Marseille conditions, as seen in his quarter-final appearance here in 2021. Rinderknech tends to perform well on faster surfaces and has shown promise in Challenger events, making it worth considering a small bet on him at 50/1 or better odds.
In conclusion, Marseille promises exciting tennis, and while favourites like Hurkacz are appealing, Ugo Humbert and Arthur Rinderknech offer intriguing value bets for those looking for potential surprises in the tournament.
Past Winners of the ATP 13
Year | Champions | Runners-up | Score |
---|---|---|---|
1993 | Marc Rosset | Jan Siemerink | 6–2, 7–6(7–1) |
1994 | Marc Rosset (2) | Arnaud Boetsch | 7–6(8–6), 7–6(7–4) |
1995 | Boris Becker | Daniel Vacek | 6–7(2–7), 6–4, 7–5 |
1996 | Guy Forget | Cédric Pioline | 7–5, 6–4 |
1997 | Thomas Enqvist | Marcelo Ríos | 6–4, 1–0, ret. |
1998 | Thomas Enqvist (2) | Yevgeny Kafelnikov | 6–4, 6–1 |
1999 | Fabrice Santoro | Arnaud Clément | 6–3, 4–6, 6–4 |
2000 | Marc Rosset (3) | Roger Federer | 2–6, 6–3, 7–6(7–5) |
2001 | Yevgeny Kafelnikov | Sébastien Grosjean | 7–6(7–5), 6–2 |
2002 | Thomas Enqvist (3) | Nicolas Escudé | 6–7(4–7), 6–3, 6–1 |
2003 | Roger Federer | Jonas Björkman | 6–2, 7–6(8–6) |
2004 | Dominik Hrbatý | Robin Söderling | 4–6, 6–4, 6–4 |
2005 | Joachim Johansson | Ivan Ljubičić | 7–5, 6–4 |
2006 | Arnaud Clément | Mario Ančić | 6–4, 6–2 |
2007 | Gilles Simon | Marcos Baghdatis | 6–4, 7–6(7–3) |
2008 | Andy Murray | Mario Ančić | 6–3, 6–4 |
2009 | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga | Michaël Llodra | 7–5, 7–6(7–3) |
2010 | Michaël Llodra | Julien Benneteau | 6–3, 6–4 |
2011 | Robin Söderling | Marin Čilić | 6–7(8–10), 6–3, 6–3 |
2012 | Juan Martín del Potro | Michaël Llodra | 6–4, 6–4 |
2013 | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (2) | Tomáš Berdych | 3–6, 7–6(8–6), 6–4 |
2014 | Ernests Gulbis | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga | 7–6(7–5), 6–4 |
2015 | Gilles Simon (2) | Gaël Monfils | 6–4, 1–6, 7–6(7–4) |
2016 | Nick Kyrgios | Marin Čilić | 6–2, 7–6(7–3) |
2017 | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (3) | Lucas Pouille | 6–4, 6–4 |
2018 | Karen Khachanov | Lucas Pouille | 7–5, 3–6, 7–5 |
2019 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Mikhail Kukushkin | 7–5, 7–6(7–5) |
2020 | Stefanos Tsitsipas (2) | Félix Auger-Aliassime | 6–3, 6–4 |
2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 6–4, 6–7(4–7), 6–4 |
2022 | Andrey Rublev | Félix Auger-Aliassime | 7–5, 7–6(7–4) |
2023 | Hubert Hurkacz | Benjamin Bonzi | 6–3, 7–6(7–4) |
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