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Royal Ascot Day Five Preview & Odds

For one last time this week, here at betting.bet we’ll preview each and every one of the day’s seven races, providing race insights and exclusive betting tips as well as the latest race odds

Royal Ascot Day Five Preview & Odds
Royal Ascot Day Five Preview & Odds

The last day of another thrilling Royal Ascot meeting will take place on Saturday with the final seven races of the week scheduled to get underway with the Chesham Stakes at 2:30. Saturday’s card looks incredibly strong with three more Group-level races to look forward to including the feature race, the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes. For one last time this week, here at betting.bet we’ll preview each and every one of the day’s seven races, providing race insights and exclusive betting tips as well as the latest race odds from our betting partners at William Hill.

2:30 - Chesham Stakes

The final day of Royal Ascot kicks off with a really tricky looking Chesham Stakes renewal. The Listed event is contested over a straight 7f and has rather unique qualification criteria as it’s open to two-year-olds sired by horses that have won over 1m2f or more. Trainer Aidan O’Brien boasts a record six Chesham Stakes wins whilst jockey Ryan Moore’s five wins is also the record for a jockey.

The leading two in the market were both sired by Frankel with both Bedtime Story and Age Of Gold well-respected. O’Brien and Moore team up for this year’s renewal with leading fancy Bedtime Story. Just one run behind her as she earned a comfortable win at Leopardstown earlier this month. Has to be respected by the race’s most successful connections. Age Of Gold cost €625,000 as a yearling and was equally impressive on debut as he eased to victory in a novice race at Yarmouth last month. William Buick rides this Godolphin-owned prospect for Charlie Appleby.

Pentle Bay was a £400,000 purchase for his new owners on Monday and could repay some of that investment on Saturday. Won over 6f on debut at Leicester earlier this month but certainly looks capable of further and is probably the best of the rest.

Chesham StakesOdds
Bedtime Story9/4
Age Of Gold4/1
Pentle Bay9/1
Expensive Rose, Motawahij16/1
Duke of Monroth20/1
Lazy Griff, Defence Missile22/1
Chilly Breeze, Jewel Of London, Moon Sniper, Brian, Harvey, Miss El Fundi33/1
Metro Dubai40/1
Hot Like Me, Shocker66/1

3:05 - Hardwicke Stakes

The standard certainly steps up a notch in the second race as we look forward to the Group 2 Hardwicke Stakes. Established back in 1879, the Hardwicke Stakes is contested over 1m4f and open to horses aged four years and over. This competitive contest has produced some notable recent winners such as Harbinger, Wonderful Tonight, Broome and Pyledriver.

Jockey Ryan Moore is eyeing a record-equalling seventh win in the race as he saddles race favourite Continuous for Aidan O’Brien. The four-year-old was second in last year’s King Edward VII Stakes but has since gone on to land the Great Voltigeur Stakes and the St Leger. Fifth in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe last time out but undoubtedly the one to beat here.

There are three past Royal Ascot winners entered for this year’s Hardwicke Stakes and according to the latest betting, last year’s King George V winner Desert Hero is the pick of them. Third in the St Leger behind Continuous and quite at his best in two Group 3 runs this year. Would undoubtedly prove a popular winner for owner King Charles III but another second straight Royal Ascot win looks to be a big ask for Desert Hero. Missed The Cut won the Golden Gates Stakes in 2022 and has produced some solid form in the USA since. Figures in 2024 of 2112 in Group-level races at Santa Anita and Keeneland are not to be underestimated. Candleford is the third Royal Ascot winner in this having won the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes in 2022. Won a Listed contest at the Curragh last month but is unlikely to be competitive in this.

Middle Earth was well-beaten in the St Leger but has been impressive in his other six outings. Won a Group 3 on his reappearance at Newbury last month and certainly capable of better than he showed when 16 lengths off Continuous at Doncaster. Isle Of Jura was also successful in a Listed event last month having landed a 1m2f contest at Goodwood on his only run in Britain this year. Solid form in Bahrain this year with form figures of 12111 as a four-year-old.

Hardwicke StakesOdds
Continuous6/4
Middle Earth5/2
Desert Hero13/2
Missed The Cut, Isle Of Jura10/1
Candleford18/1
Goliath22/1
Elegant Man40/1
Crypto Force50/1

3:45 - Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes

The feature race on the final day of Royal Ascot is the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes. Established in 1868 and open to horses aged four years and above this straight 6f sprint has held Group 1 status since 2002. This year’s renewal has 14 confirmed entries with a huge £567,100 on offer to the winner.

The bookies’ favourite is currently Mill Stream as long-time market leader Kinross has eased slightly in the betting. Mill Stream finished well down the field over C&D in last October’s British Champions Sprint Stakes but has bounced back with a couple of eye-catching runs this year. Second to Washington Heights in the Abernant Stakes in April before landing the Group 2 Duke Of York Clipper Stakes last month. Jockey William Buick has not had the best week at Ascot up to now but could sign off by landing this prestigious Group 1.

Kinross is a drifter in the betting ahead of his first run of 2024. Last seen when second to Art Power in the British Champions Sprint Stakes last autumn having won that race a year earlier. Only seventh in this race last year but did win both the Lennox Stakes and City Of York Stakes in the summer. Easy to see why he has drifted in the market but certainly merits respect.

Last year’s race was won by jockey Jamie Spencer on board Khaadem for trainer Charles Hills and the pair team up again this year with Mitbaahy. Fourth in the Abernant on his first run for Charles Hills but put in a career best performance to win the Group 2 Greenlands Stakes at the Curragh last time out. Commands respect for leading connections.

Shartash is 2-2 since moving to Archie Watson and could be yet another top performer in the red-hot Wathnan Racing silks this week. Leovanni, Shareholder and English Oak have all won sprints at this year’s Royal Ascot meeting for Shartash’s owners.

Art Power left plenty of these trailing in the Group 1 Sprint Stakes over C&D in October but he ideally needed a bit of rain to be competitive here. Well beaten on good to firm in last year’s renewal of this race and both wins since have come on soft ground.

Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee StakesOdds
Mill Stream9/2
Kinross, Mitbaahy11/2
Shartash6/1
Believing8/1
The Wizard Of Eye, Shouldvebeenaring11/1
Washington Heights, Art Power12/1
Swingalong16/1
Khaadem20/1
Quinault25/1
Vadream66/1
Jumby80/1

4:25 - Jersey Stakes

The Group 3 Jersey Stakes is next up on Saturday with 20 runners confirmed for this 7f straight sprint. Established in 1919 and open to three-year-olds, notable recent winners of the race include Ribchester and Expert Eye.

Age Of Kings won the race twelve months ago for trainer Aidan O’Brien under the ride of Wayne Lordan. The two team up against this year with Mountain Bear but he is undoubtedly the stable’s second string with River Tiber also set to represent the Ballydoyle team. River Tiber won the Coventry Stakes twelve months ago and put in a promising performance when third in the Irish 2000 Guineas last month.

River Tiber was over a length down on the leading pair in the 2000 Guineas as subsequent St James’s Palace Stakes winner Rosallion just edged out Haatem at the Curragh and the latter will line up in Saturday’s Jersey Stakes. Haatem also ran well when third in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and prior to that landed the Craven Stakes on the Rowley Mile. Only fifth in the Coventry Stakes last year but has progressed well since and is a leading player here.

The major gamble in the race is Task Force who has been backed in from 16/1 for respected trainer Ralph Beckett. Second in the Middle Park last September before disappointing over 1m in the 2000 Guineas. A Step back in trip looks necessary and 7f could prove ideal.

Jersey StakesOdds
River Tiber6/4
Haatem10/3
Task Force8/1
Never So Brave, Eben Shaddad12/1
Night Raider14/1
Native American, Kikkuli16/1
Boiling Point20/1
Zoum Zoum, Mountain Bear33/1
Indian Run40/1
Take Me To Church, Pearls And Rubies, El Bodon50/1
Son, Chicago Critic66/1
Dark Tornado80/1
Kortez Bay, Ziggy's Dream100/1

5:05 - Wokingham Stakes

The Wokingham Stakes is one of the oldest races featured at Royal Ascot having been established back in 1813. Contested by three-year-olds over a straight 6f, this year’s Wokingham Stakes has 27 confirmed entries.

In-form trainer Archie Watson is targeting a second straight win in the race with last year’s race winner Saint Lawrence entered once again. Has underwhelmed in six runs since but is up just 3lbs compared to last year’s winning mark.

It is perhaps quite telling that last year’s winning jockey Holly Doyle has opted to ride stablemate Albasheer instead. Albasheer was well-beaten in last year’s renewal but did go on to land the Constantine Handicap at York later in the summer. Kept busy over the autumn with a series of solid runs on Newcastle’s AW before returning to the turf with a run in a Group 2 at Chantilly three weeks ago.

Dark Trooper is the current market leader for Qatari trainer Alban De Mieulle and he heads to Ascot on the back of a solid win over at Saint-Cloud last month. Won four handicaps in Britain last summer for trainer Ed Walker including a double over C&D. Has to be respected.

Harry Three looked a superb prospect as a three-year-old but was away for 630 days before a solid run out at Salisbury last month. A major player if he’s back to anywhere near his best but it’s a big ask.

Wokingham StakesOdds
Dark Trooper7/1
Albasheer, Harry Three8/1
Unequal Love11/1
Saint Lawrence12/1
Orazio, Apollo One, Rumstar, Mums Tipple14/1
Lethal Levi, Cover Up, Ferrous18/1
Desert Cop, Aleezdancer, Fivethousandtoone20/1
Juan Les Pins, Strike Red22/1
Torivega25/1
Vafortino, Glenfinnan, Flaming Rib28/1
Coachello, Chipstead33/1
Wodao, Roman Dragon40/1
Warrior Brave, The Bell Conductor, Rocket Rodney50/1

5:40 - Golden Gates Stakes

The penultimate race of the week is another competitive looking handicap. The Golden Gates Stakes is open to three-year-olds and contested over 1m2f with 16 confirmed runners for this year’s renewal.

Hand Of God is the market leader for trainer Harry Charlton. Back-to-back winners over 1m including the Esher Cup in April. Kept on gamely at Sandown and certainly looked like he’d welcome the extra quarter of a mile he’ll get on Saturday.

There are several leading players with solid form over Saturday’s 1m2f trip. Approval made all at Windsor on the back of two solid runs on Wolverhampton’s AW and remains on the very useful mark whilst Old Faithful is chasing a hat-trick for the in-form Ryan Moore / Aidan O’Brien team.

If Portsmouth can settle early he could have a leading chance for trainer Andrew Balding. Dominant winner of the Betfred “Nifty 50” Handicap at Epsom before back-to-back second place finishes when running far too freely at both Goodwood and Epsom. Hayley Turner rides Portsmouth for the first time.

Golden Gates StakesOdds
Hand Of God11/4
Old Faithful6/1
Approval7/1
Portsmouth15/2
Palace Green, Primo Lara10/1
Cambridge11/1
Miletus14/1
Dambuster16/1
Nerano, Arabic Legend, Treasure18/1
Whiskey Pete20/1
Balmacara, Black Run, Grey Cuban25/1

6:15 - Queen Alexandra Stakes

The final race of a sensational Royal Ascot meeting is Britain's longest professional flat race, the Queen Alexandra Stakes. This gruelling stamina test, established in 1864 is contested over a distance of 2m5½f and open to horses aged four years and over. The race has been dominated by the Irish in recent years with seven of the past twelve renewals won by Irish trainers, including each of the past three.

Joseph O’Brien won last year’s Queen Alexandra Stakes renewal with Dawn Rising and the seven-year-old is the market leader again this year. Dawn Rising has enjoyed a similar prep to this year’s race as he did twelve months ago so don’t be too put off by back-to-back heavy defeats over 1m6f in Ireland in the past couple of months. Ryan Moore was in the saddle twelve months ago but it is William Buick that rides Dawn Rising this year.

Ryan Moore is set to ride Queenstown for Aidan O’Brien as he eyes a record sixth win in the race. O’Brien’s only previous Queen Alexandra Stakes win came back in 2008 but Queenstown has every chance. Much closer to race winner Kyprios than Dawn Rising was in those two recent runs in Ireland but has never run over further than 1m6f so stamina has to come into question.

Fasol returns to the flat in a first-time tongue tie on Saturday under the guidance of respected National Hunt trainer Paul Nicholls. Solid French form and a decent run at Kempton last time out. No such stamina concerns for Fasol and he may well have been overlooked in the betting.

Queen Alexandra StakesOdds
Dawn Rising, Queenstown3/1
Run For Oscar11/2
Trueshan, Postileo17/2
Uxmal9/1
Tashkhan10/1
Grand Providence14/1
Magellan Strait, Fasol25/1
Drawn To Dream40/1
Nachtgeist66/1
Ndaawi80/1
Maxident100/1

Royal Ascot Day Five Predictions

  • 2:30 - Age Of Gold (4/1)
  • 3:05 - Continuous (6/4)
  • 3:45 - Mitbaahy (11/2)
  • 4:25 - Haatem (10/3)
  • 5:05 - Albasheer (8/1)
  • 5:40 - Portsmouth (15/2)
  • 6:15 - Fasol (25/1)
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