Euro 2024: France v Poland - Match Preview & Odds

Stephen Welch / 6:24 PM GMT • 24th June, 2024

4 minutes

As we look forward to this much-anticipated fixture, here at betting.bet you’ll find the latest match insights, team news and exclusive betting tips as well as up to date pre-match odds and offers

France and Poland meet in Dortmund on Tuesday in the final match of their Euro 2024 group. The fixture is guaranteed to be Poland’s last in the competition with elimination already confirmed whilst France will be eyeing top spot in Group D. As we look forward to this much-anticipated fixture, here at betting.bet you’ll find the latest match insights, team news and exclusive betting tips as well as up to date pre-match odds and offers from our partners at BetVictor.

Group Stage Recap

Poland became the first team to be eliminated from Euro 2024 following successive defeats to the Netherlands (2-1) and Austria (3-1). The rest of Group D remains finely poised with just a single point separating the top three sides. All three nations have probably done enough to progress to the last-16 but in theory, the higher the finishing position in the group stage, the more favourable the draw once we reach the knockout stage.

Poland can count themselves unfortunate to have lost 3-1 against Austria having matched their opponents for shots on goals (15 each) and achieving a reasonable 47% possession. However, Austria has three times the amount of shots on target with 9 in total compared to just 3 for Poland.

France may count themselves rather fortunate to have escaped Friday’s heavyweight clash with 1988 champions, the Netherlands with a 0-0 draw. Dutch starlet Xavi Simons had what seemed a legitimate goal disallowed for offside on a night where a wasteful France had dominated for large spells. France boasted 62.6% possession but in the absence of their talisman Kylian Mbappe only 3 of their 15 attempts on goal were actually on target.

France’s 1-0 over Austria in their opening match means that Le Bleus currently sit on four points from their opening two matches and will top the group should they better the Netherlands’ result on Tuesday evening.

Team News

France should have more than enough firepower to handle the threat of Poland without recalling Kylian Mbappe to their starting line up. Mbappe was an unused substitute in Friday’s draw with the Netherlands and with bigger games to come in the knockout stage, he could again ride the bench until called upon.

Kylian Mbappe’s presence was missed in the draw against the Netherlands but it was the defensive tactics adopted in his absence that was a real concern for France. Antoine Griezmann shifted up from the number ten role to play centre forward as Mbappe’s place in the starting line up was taken by defensive midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni. Mbappe could return on Tuesday but if he is absent, France have to call upon their all-time top scorer Olivier Giroud to lead the line.

Poland will recall captain Robert Lewandowksi to their starting line up in what is likely to be his final game at a major international tournament. The Barcelona forward came on for the final 30 minutes against Austria having missed Poland’s first match due to an arm injury sustained just before the tournament. At the age of 35, he’s very much in the twilight of an extraordinary career. Krzysztof Piatek is likely to make way for Lewandowksi despite scoring in the defeat to Austria last week.

Possible Line Ups

France: Maignan, Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernandez, Kante, Rabiot, Dembele, Griezmann, Thuram, Giroud

Poland: Szczesny, Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Kiwior, Frankowski, Zielinski, Slisz, Moder, Zalewski, Swiderski, Lewandowski

Betting Tips

Euro 2024 has turned into a tournament to forget for Poland with an injury to their greatest ever player on the eve of the tournament and two straight defeats that saw them become the first side eliminated from the competition. Things aren’t about to get any easier as they prepare to take on the bookies’ outright favourites France. France haven’t yet hit top gear in Germany but should make light work of Poland. France to win is priced at 1/4.

Didier Deschamps’ pragmatic approach has seen them score just one goal in their opening two matches with their success built on a rock-solid defensive unit. France to win to nil seems an inevitability at 11/10. Dropping a midfielder for either Mbappe or Giroud could give France a new lease of life on Tuesday which would make the 6/5 on offer for them to score over 2.5 team goals a real steal.

BetVictor are unsure whether it will be Mbappe or Giroud that gets the nod on Tuesday evening and therefore both feature prominently in the various goalscorer markets. Below are odds relating to both players worth consideration.

N’Golo Kante has been reborn at this summer’s European Championships as he’s put an injury-hit couple of seasons well and truly behind him. Kante was the only player to be named as Player of the Match twice in the first two rounds of group matches yet he can still be backed at incredible odds of 16/1 to be crowned Player of the Tournament.

Match Odds

Predicted Match Result: France 3-0 Poland (6/1)