Euro 2024: Spain v France - Match Preview & Odds
Here at betting.bet we’ll provide the latest team news, match insights and betting tips as well as the best pre-match odds and free bet offers
We’re down to the final four at Euro 2024 and on Tuesday, Spain and France meet in the first of this week’s semi-final matches. As we look ahead to this huge fixture at the Allianz Arena in Munich, here at betting.bet we’ll provide the latest team news, match insights and football betting tips as well as the best pre-match odds and free bet offers from our partners at BoyleSports.
Euro 2024 Form
Spain have been the stand-out side at Euro 2024 this summer and head into Tuesday’s semi-final tie as slight favourites. Spain won all three group games without conceding a goal as they made light work of the so-called ‘Group Of Death’ Spain topped Group B by defeating Croatia (3-0), Italy (1-0) and Albania (1-0). In the round of 16, Spain came from behind to earn a convincing 4-1 over tournament surprise package Georgia.
Spain’s quarter-final tie against hosts Germany would’ve made a worthy final and it was the Spaniards that emerged victorious thanks to a Mikel Merino header in the dying minutes of extra-time. Substitute Dani Olmo looked to have won the tie for Spain within 90 minutes but Florian Wirtz stepped off the bench for Germany to fire in an 89th-minute equaliser.
Five games in and no France player has scored from open play at Euro 2024. Two of France’s three goals so far in Germany have been own goals whilst their only other goal came from the penalty spot. Les Bleus kicked off their campaign with a 1-0 win against Austria before draws against Netherlands (0-0) and Poland (1-1) saw them finish second in Group D.
In their first knockout game, a Jan Vertonghen own goal saw them edge past Belgium to set up a quarter-final match against Portugal. Despite both nations fielding star-studded line ups in Hamburg, an underwhelming tie finished goalless after 120 minutes. France progressed 5-3 on penalties.
Team News
Spain will be without Dani Carvajal on Tuesday following the full-back’s red card late on in last Friday’s quarter-final tie against Germany. Robin Le Normand will all be absent on Tuesday after picking up his second booking of the tournament in the quarter-final win over Germany. Nacho is in line to replace Le Normand whilst Jesus Navas is likely to be deployed as right-back in place of Carvajal.
Pedri played barely eight minutes of Spain’s quarter-final win over Germany before sustaining a tournament-ending knee injury following a challenge from Toni Kroos. Off the bench, Dani Olmo played a starring role in Spain’s extra-time win and the RB Leipzig midfielder should start alongside Rodri and Fabian Ruiz in central midfield.
France head into Tuesday's semi-final with no fresh injury concerns but captain Kylian Mbappe will retain the protective mask he has sported for the majority of Euro 2024. Eduardo Camavinga deputised for suspended midfielder Adrien Rabiot against Portugal but Rabiot should slot straight back into the France starting XI on Tuesday. Randal Kolo Muani may also drop to the bench against Spain with Didier Deschamps set to bring Ousmane Dembele or Marcus Thuram into his starting line up.
Possible Line Ups
Spain: Simon, Navas, Nacho, Laporte, Cucurella, Rodri, Fabian Ruiz, Olmo, Williams, Yamal, Morata.
France: Maignan, Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernandez, Kante, Rabiot, Tchouameni, Griezmann, Dembele, Mbappe
Spain v France: Head-to-Head
Spain hold a slight advantage in head-to-head matches against France, winning 16 times compared to 13 wins for France. However, France won the most recent match between these two European heavyweights, claiming a 2-1 win in the 2021 UEFA Nations League final thanks to goals from Karim Benzema and Kylian Mbappe. Mikel Oyarzabal had given Spain the lead on 64 minutes.
Spain and France have met four times at the European Championships. They drew 1-1 in a group game at Euro ‘96 whilst the other three meetings were won by the eventual competition winners. France won 2-0 in the 1984 final and 2-1 in the quarter-final in 2000 before Spain claimed a 2-0 win en route to winning Euro 2012.
Euro 2024 Betting Tips
Spain are deserved favourites to win this semi-final following a series of impressive performances in Germany this summer. At odds of 8/5, the tournament’s outright favourites are well-priced to win inside 90 minutes. However, we remain optimistic of seeing France come good at these European Championships and like the Evens on offer for both teams to score.
Despite starting the majority of Spain’s matches amongst the substitutes, Dani Olmo is now one of the bookies’ favourites to win the Golden Boot having scored his second goal of the tournament against Germany in the quarter-finals. Whilst Spain’s attacking trio of Alvaro Morata, Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams will all prove hugely popular in the goalscorer markets, Olmo is the standout option at 9/2 to score at any time.
Kylian Mbappe has endured a difficult Euro 2024 as he continues to struggle in his protective mask. However, the man for the big occasion remains France’s main hope in front of goal. At 2/1 Mbappe is generously priced to score at any time whilst he is 5/1 to score first on Tuesday. If Mbappe can rediscover anything like his best form in Munich, he could prove a steal at 9/2 to be named Player of the Match against Spain.
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Goals have been hard to come by for France so far this summer but they will fancy their chances of addressing that against Spain’s makeshift defence in Munich. Jesus Navas is not a natural right-back and his defensive frailties could be exploited down France’s left flank. Navas is 4/1 to be booked on Tuesday whilst France left-back Theo Hernandez is priced at 13/2 to provide an assist.
Match Odds
| Spain | Draw | France |
|---|---|---|
| 8/5 | 9/5 | 2/1 |
Predicted Match Result: Spain 1-1 France (9/2)
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