Implied chance
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Prices come from the public data of Polymarket and are a snapshot, not a quote. A price of 40 means the market implies a 40% chance, roughly 6/4 against. Polymarket is not open to players in every country, so check the local position before acting on any price here.
Source market: clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026
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