This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prices come from the public data of Polymarket and are a snapshot, not a quote. A price of 40 means the market implies a 40% chance, roughly 6/4 against. Polymarket is not open to players in every country, so check the local position before acting on any price here.
Source market: will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
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