Sure Scores

Michael Barry | Thursday, 24 September 2026

Opinion

Michael BarrySure ScoresUEFA NATIONS LEAGUE TIPS

• Thursday

  19:45 Portugal v Wales

  UEFA Nations League

  Portugal have been ruthless in Lisbon, hammering nine past Armenia and five past Uzbekistan in their last run of home games, and they only went out of the World Cup to a single goal against Spain. Wales arrive on the back of a 1 to 2 defeat in Romania and three straight 1 to 1 draws, so goals have been hard to come by, and with Joe Rodon and Dylan Lawlor sidelined the back line looks stretched. A four goal home win at 10/1 is the sort of price that only shows up when the market underestimates how quickly Portugal can put a game to bed.

  Portugal 4-0 Wales

  Correct Score

  Best Odds10/1

• Thursday

  19:45 Netherlands v Germany

  UEFA Nations League

  These two rarely produce a quiet night. Their last five meetings have averaged 3.2 goals with both teams scoring in four of them, and Germany turn up in serious rhythm after putting seven past Curacao and six past Slovakia. Netherlands score plenty at home but keep leaking, having drawn 1 to 1 with Morocco and 2 to 2 with Japan, and with Frenkie de Jong missing the midfield loses its calmest head. Backing Germany to edge a shootout in Amsterdam at 19/1 fits a fixture that keeps refusing to stay tidy.

  Netherlands 2-3 Germany

  Correct Score

  Best Odds19/1

• Thursday

  19:45 Norway v Denmark

  UEFA Nations League

  Ullevaal has become a fortress. Norway have won their last three at home, scoring at a rate of more than three goals a game and conceding almost nothing, and Erling Haaland has seven goals in his last ten appearances for his country. Denmark have not won any of their last four on the road, shipping two a game in that spell, and Andreas Christensen is out of the trip. Rasmus Hojlund has five in ten so they should get on the board, but 3 to 1 at 12/1 looks the right shape for a home side in this mood.

  Norway 3-1 Denmark

  Correct Score

  Best Odds12/1

18+, please gamble responsibly. Odds are correct at time of writing and can change.