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When will any company achieve AGI?

  • Before Jan 1, 203083%
  • Before Jan 1, 203181%
  • Before Oct 1, 202880%
Contracts traded
155,682
Liquidity
$0
Closes
1 October 2026
Market rules

How this market settles

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Prices come from the public data of Kalshi and are a snapshot, not a quote. A price of 40 means the market implies a 40% chance, roughly 6/4 against. Kalshi is a US regulated exchange that accepts members internationally, but several countries are on its restricted list, so check the local position before acting on any price here.

Source market: kalshi-kxagico-comp

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