This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Prices come from the public data of Polymarket and are a snapshot, not a quote. A price of 40 means the market implies a 40% chance, roughly 6/4 against. Polymarket is not open to players in every country, so check the local position before acting on any price here.
Source market: democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
Each question below has been matched by hand, because two markets with similar wording can settle on completely different rules. Where a mapping has not been checked yet, we say so rather than showing a comparison you cannot trust.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president, so the two prices are directly comparable.
$27.7m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
$10.3m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president.
$15.2m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
$9.4m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president.
$8.1m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
$13.0m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
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