If Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prices come from the public data of Kalshi and are a snapshot, not a quote. A price of 40 means the market implies a 40% chance, roughly 6/4 against. Kalshi is a US regulated exchange that accepts members internationally, but several countries are on its restricted list, so check the local position before acting on any price here.
Source market: kalshi-kxpresnomd-28
Each question below has been matched by hand, because two markets with similar wording can settle on completely different rules. Where a mapping has not been checked yet, we say so rather than showing a comparison you cannot trust.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president, so the two prices are directly comparable.
$27.7m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
$10.3m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president.
$15.2m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
$9.4m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
Both exchanges settle Yes only if Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for president.
$8.1m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the nomination for the presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, settled by the exchange as a US regulated market.
$13.0m traded
Resolves Yes if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination, judged on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. A later replacement of the nominee does not change settlement.
Looking for the legal position in your country? See our prediction sites guide.
